Monday, April 25th

CFL: (-0.5) SLAVEN BELUPO - Inter Zapresic (1.92@12Bet, 1.88@Pinnacle)

Slaven Belupo - Inter Zapresic OVER 2,5 GOALS (2.05@Pinnacle)

 

2 clubs can be more than satisfied with this season – they both avoid relegation early enough, and that's why they can play relaxed till the end of the season. Inter wil probably end it as high as 6th place, while Slaven Belupo has the chance to win the first trophy in club's history, as they will meet Dinamo in the Cup final. Slaven Belupo is a team that plays much better at home (they won 24 of 33 points at home). Quick look at their recent home form might fool you, as their 2 matches were goalless draws (vs 2nd Rijeka and 3rd Hajduk). But, before that they beat Istra 2:0, and meaanwhile they trashed Rijeka 3:0 in the Cup. I'm pretty sure that this is the match in which they'll finally score (at least 2, I'd say), after 4 consecutive goalless matches (3 of them ended 0:0 – and I can tell you – in SB they were satisfied with each of them). Inter's goal is to be 6th at the end of the season, but to be honest, I think SB deserves that position more. But, I expect relaxed match with at least 3 goals and a home win (they played 4 times this season, 3 official matches and a friendly – and at least 3 goals were scored in eacg of them)

Pick for today

Today will have a pick or two, tune in at 2PM GMT

Sunday, april 24th

Three bets, all odds at 12bet.
Sorry, but no preview this time.
CFL: Hajduk - (-0.25) RIJEKA 2.12
CFL: (-0.5) LOKOMOTIVA - Osijek 1.79
Lokomotiva - Osijek OVER 2.5 GOALS 2.19

CFL: RNK Split - (-0.75) DINAMO (1.75@SBO, 1.74@Pinnacle)

Our first bet failed miserably in the first half, but it seems will win the other bet and produce 0.2 point loss from this match.

Dinamo is near 11th title in a row, and although they lost 1:0 this autumn at RNK Split, form of their opponent is - as low as it gets. I mentioned several times that it's all about motivation for Dinamo this season, and I think they'll be motivated for this one - as they want some kind of revenge for that defeat, and much more important - they want to be champions once more. RNK Split's coach Goran Sablic will "play" defensively in this one, and I wouldn't be surprised if Dinamo wins 1:0 or 2:0, but in case of an early goal, I can also see Split's net full of goals. And that's why we're skipping O/U bet this time, although stats say "under".

Saturday, April 23rd - part 1

CFL: Istra – (+0.5) ZAGREB (1.85@Pinnacle, 1.82@SBO)

CFL: Istra – Zagreb UNDER 2.25 GOALS (1.99@Pinnacle, 1.98@SBO)

If Istra wins a point here, they'll mathematically avoid direct relegation. And they're aware that they won't catch Osijek, who is 7 points ahead just 4 rounds till the end. They haven't won for months (since mid-October),but they shared points very often. But, I'm pretty sure they won't be rushing in this one. On the other hand, Zagreb finally won in the last round, but that's a bit too late – as they're 9 points behind Istra. Still, their defense looks solid recently (only 1 goal conceeded in the last 180 minutes, vs Dinamo). They have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 6 (but defeats were at top 3 teams and at Osijek), while Istra has only 1 draw and 5 defeats (and they failed to score a single goal in those 6). That's why I think Zagreb is closer to the win here, but low (or no) scoring draw is definitely an option  (last 4 matches between these 2 ended 0:0 or 1:1 after 90 minutes).

P.S. We might get involved in the remaining match as well, but I'm waiting for the last minute team news, so I'll be publishing that pick(s) at 3 PM GMT.

Terrible midweek

Zagreb finally managed to beat someone, but that 2:0 was our only (half)winning bet. Rijeka and Dinamo played more or less boring match (a void and a 1 point loss), but the match that broke my heart was Hajduk - Lokomotiva. Our bet was winning one till 75th minute, when Susic scored from the spot (that penalty was at least doubtful), and the Juranovic scored in 94th minute - and instead of a void, our bet was suddenly lost. I can't say I'm surprised, as we had more than a few injury time goals that cost us a lots of points (I don't wanna know how much exactly, I really don't).

Wednesday, March 20th

CFL: Hajduk – (+1) LOKOMOTIVA (1.76@Pinnacle)

Only one bet for today. Hajduk has only one home defeat this season (9 wins, 5 draws), but if we take a closer look – we can see that all the wins by 2 or more goals were vs teams from the bottom half ot the table. Hajduk has 6 consecutive clean sheets in the league (they conceeded 6 in 2 Cup matches vs Dinamo, though), but that series can't last forever – after all, Lokomotiva scored at least a goal in the last 8 H2H matches. Btw, Hajduk scored only 5 goals in those 6 matches (3 of them were goalless draws, while 3 of those 5 goals were scored from the 11m spot). Hajduk has even bigger series this autumn – 8 clean sheets in a row (that was between 2 matches vs Lokomotiva!). On top of that, Hajduk's forward Vlasic is injured, and he's the one who's making the most mess in opponent's defense. Hajduk would be satisfied with a point here, as they'd stay at 9 points in front of Lokomotiva only 4 rounds to go, so 3rd place would be secured.

On the other hand, after RNK Split failed to beat Zagreb yesterday, Lokomotiva's chances to win the 4th place are even better. Only Jerko Leko is injured, they can be quite relaxed and a minimal defeat is the worst case scenario in this match – I wouldn't be surprised if they win.