srijeda, 20. travnja 2016.

Wednesday, March 20th

CFL: Hajduk – (+1) LOKOMOTIVA (1.76@Pinnacle)

Only one bet for today. Hajduk has only one home defeat this season (9 wins, 5 draws), but if we take a closer look – we can see that all the wins by 2 or more goals were vs teams from the bottom half ot the table. Hajduk has 6 consecutive clean sheets in the league (they conceeded 6 in 2 Cup matches vs Dinamo, though), but that series can't last forever – after all, Lokomotiva scored at least a goal in the last 8 H2H matches. Btw, Hajduk scored only 5 goals in those 6 matches (3 of them were goalless draws, while 3 of those 5 goals were scored from the 11m spot). Hajduk has even bigger series this autumn – 8 clean sheets in a row (that was between 2 matches vs Lokomotiva!). On top of that, Hajduk's forward Vlasic is injured, and he's the one who's making the most mess in opponent's defense. Hajduk would be satisfied with a point here, as they'd stay at 9 points in front of Lokomotiva only 4 rounds to go, so 3rd place would be secured.

On the other hand, after RNK Split failed to beat Zagreb yesterday, Lokomotiva's chances to win the 4th place are even better. Only Jerko Leko is injured, they can be quite relaxed and a minimal defeat is the worst case scenario in this match – I wouldn't be surprised if they win.

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