subota, 17. prosinca 2016.

No bets this weekend

And we'll have a winter break. CFL will be back in February. Have a MC&HNY.

subota, 10. prosinca 2016.

3 bets

Cibalia - Hajduk UNDER 2.5 GOALS 1.77
Istra - (0) OSIJEK 1.78
Rnk Split - (-1) RIJEKA 1.69

All bets at pinnacle

subota, 3. prosinca 2016.

4 picks

(-0.5) DINAMO - Rijeka 2.03@Pinnacle
(-0.5) CIBALIA - Lokomotiva 3.01@Pinnacle
(+0.5) SLAVEN BELUPO - Hajduk 1.74@Pinnacle
Rnk Split - (-0.5) OSIJEK 2.14@12bet


petak, 2. prosinca 2016.

Small profit and more picks omorrow

Hello. 0.3 point profit lastw weekend. This one will be better, I hope. No matches scheduled for today, so tune in tomorrow at noon.

subota, 26. studenoga 2016.

Sorry for the delay

I know I said at noon, but since both matches we're getting involved are scheduled for Sunday, still pleny of time left...

Osijek – (-0.5) DINAMO 1.75@12Bet
Hajduk – Inter Zapresic UNDER 3.0 GOALS 1.63@Pinnacle

Hajduk – (+1.5) INTER ZAPRESIC 1.86@Pinnacle

petak, 25. studenoga 2016.

Picks at noon

We lost a point in the CL, but we can bring it back this weekend. Tune in at noon

utorak, 22. studenoga 2016.

Champions Laegue

Dinamo – (-1) LYON 1.97@12Bet

Dinamo – Lyon OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.92@SBO, Pinnacle

Not a good weekend, more picks coming

2 bets lost, 1 won and 1 void - not good at all, but I won't cry about less than a point loss.
Dinamo plays tonight vs Lyon, so tune in at noon!

subota, 19. studenoga 2016.

Picks

Hajduk - (+1) LOKOMOTIVA 2.09@SBO
Hajduk - Lokomotiva OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.69@Pinnacle
Slaven - (-0.75) RIJEKA 1.8@Pinnacle
Cibalia - (-0.5) OSIJEK 2.12@Pinnacle

petak, 18. studenoga 2016.

Picks at noon

We were unlucky as it gets. Brozovic turned our day upside down in the injury time. But, that's football. And that's life.
We'll have at least two picks for tomorrow. Tune in at noon!

petak, 11. studenoga 2016.

World Cup

Croatia – (+1.5) ICELAND 1.71@Pinnacle, SBO

Pick(s) for tomorrow at 3 PM!

Tune in!

subota, 5. studenoga 2016.

3 bets, Rijeka-Hajduk at 3pm today

(-1) RIJEKA - Hajduk 1.76@Pinnacle
Rijeka - Hajduk OVER 2 GOALS 1.61@Pinnacle
Rnk Split - Dinamo UNDER 2.5 GOALS 1.8@12bet

petak, 4. studenoga 2016.

Picks coming tomorrow at noon

No value in the odds for today's match.

srijeda, 2. studenoga 2016.

No picks for today

Hi everybody. I decided to skip Sevilla - Dinamo match. Margins are set realistic. I'm sure that Sevilla is capable to trash Dinamo, but they proved in Zagreb that trashing their opponents is not of of their desires. "Main" margins - AH margin at -2 and O/U margin at 3.0 isn't attractive enought for me, alhtough - if I'd had to - I'd take (-2) SEVILLA and OVER 3.0 GOALS. But, I don't have to so I won't.

ponedjeljak, 31. listopada 2016.

Today's pick

Cibalia - (+0.5) RNK SPLIT 1.96@12Bet, SBO

Good weekend + today's pick at 3 PM

2 bets won, 2 voids and one pick at 3 PM.
I'll do the recap of the last 45 days later this week.

subota, 29. listopada 2016.

Halloweekend

Inter Zapresic – (-1) DINAMO 1.59@Pinnacle
Slaven Belupo – Istra UNDER 2.50 GOALS 1.69@Pinnacle
Lokomotiva – (-0.5) RIJEKA 1.80@12Bet
Hajduk – (+1) OSIJEK 1.93@SBO


We might get involved in Cibalia – RNK Split match on Monday, but no value at the moment. So tune in on Monday 3 PM CET.

Awful weekend + picks coming

Hi. The worst weekend ever, with only one void and 4 bets lost. But, that's what sometimes happens.
There were no matches scheduled for Friday, but we'll have few bets for this Halloweekend, so tune in at 1 PM CET.

petak, 21. listopada 2016.

Picks for the weekend

RNK Split - Slaven Belupo are scheduled for 6 PM.

RNK Split - Slaven Belupo DRAW 2.89@SBO
RNK Split - Slaven Belupo UNDER 2 GOALS 1.74@12Bet
Istra - Hajduk OVER 2.5 GOALS 2.10@Pinnacle
Dinamo - Cibalia UNDER 3 GOALS 2.09@Pinnacle
(-1.75) RIJEKA - Inter Zapresic 1.81@SBO

Picks coming in half an hour

Cedevita lost the match unfortunately, but you can expect football picks 30 minutes later than usual.

srijeda, 19. listopada 2016.

Eurocup

Eurocup:

(-9) CEDEVITA - Lietkabelis 1.93@Pinnacle

Recap and a bit more

If we take a look at the past 5 days - we had 7 bets - 3 won, 2 void and 2 lost. And we earned... Almost nothing. 0.08 points. But, we didn't lost anything.

We'll have a basketball bet today, so tune in at 3 PM.

utorak, 18. listopada 2016.

Sevilla day

Dinamo - (-1) SEVILLA 2.11@sbo
Dinamo - Sevilla OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.92@sbo

petak, 14. listopada 2016.

Football picks for the weekend

CFL:
Slaven Belupo – (-1) DINAMO 1.88@12Bet
Rijeka – (+1.5) OSIJEK 1.70@Pinnacle
Lokomotiva – Istra OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.86@12Bet
Hajduk – (+2) RNK SPLIT 1.60@Pinnacle

Hajduk – RNK Split OVER 2 GOALS 1.62@Pinnacle

Weekend picks coming at 3 PM

We'll have few bets, more than one definitely. We'll probably get involved in tonight's match (& PM CET), so tune in!

Btw, Not a good Sunday. Croatia beat Finland but only 1-0, which means one of our bets was void, and the other one - lost. Croatia took the early lead (18th minute), was much better team (Finland didn't had a proper chance), but it wasn't meant to be.

subota, 8. listopada 2016.

World Cup Qualifiers

Sorry for the delay. Still, you have 24 hours to take the bets.

WCQ: Finland - (-1) CROATIA 1.80@Pinnacle
Finland - Croatia OVER 2 GOALS 1.65@Pinnacle

petak, 7. listopada 2016.

Bet for Sunday

Please tune in tomorrow at 4PM. Croatia plays at Finland and we might have a bet.
I decided not to get involved in Kosovo-Croatia match, which Croatia won 6-0. Sorry to all of the people who were waiting for the pick

ponedjeljak, 3. listopada 2016.

Weekend recap

Weekend started great - Rijeka won at Istra 2:0 on Friday (+0.94), then Lokomotiva won at RNK Split (+1.07) and when Osijek took the lead in the 1st half - I thought - this might be a very good weekend indeed. But, Osijek conceeded in the 45th minute, and failed to score from 3 great chances in the 2nd half. So, we lost a point there - and it should've been a void. Osijek wasn't brilliant, but they were better team. And, then on Sunday - partially because of the rain - both matches ended 0:0 - and we had 2 over bets... A point lost this weekend - not quite a disaster.

Croatia plays at Kosovo on Thursday, so tune in on Wednesday at 3PM. Btw, no tennis bets tomorrow, but handball Champions League and regional basketball league (ABA) started, and we might get involved rather in a week or two.

četvrtak, 29. rujna 2016.

CFL weekend

We're getting involved in all 5 matches.

Istra - (-0.75) RIJEKA 1.94@Pinnacle
Rnk Split - (-0.5) LOKOMOTIVA 2.07@12bet
(-1) OSIJEK - Inter Zapresic 1.78@Pinnacle
Dinamo - Hajduk OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.94@12bet
Cibalia - Slaven Belupo OVER 2 GOALS 1.65@Pinnacle

Weekend picks coming today at 3 PM

My little daughter is celebrating her 2nd birthday today, so I'll be busy preparing the party. CFL picks will be published at 3 PM today.

srijeda, 28. rujna 2016.

Both bets landed

Juventus comfortably beat Dinamo 4:0 (2:0 at HT), which means both bets landed, which also means we have 4/4 in the CL this season so far.

I'll be sending weekend picks on Friday 3PM, I need some rest from tennis bets.

ponedjeljak, 26. rujna 2016.

Champions league on Tuesday

CL: Dinamo – (-1.5) JUVENTUS 1.90@Pinnacle

CL: Dinamo – Juventus OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.72@SBO

Injury time

We were quite unlucky yesterday - Istra scored an equaliser in the injury time, so we lost a point. But, Dinamo plays vs Juventus, and we'll have a bet or two. Tune in at 3 PM.

subota, 24. rujna 2016.

The only bet this weekend

CFL: (-1) OSIJEK - Istra 1.86@Pinnacle

All bets (August 16th - September 15th)

FIRST 2 MONTHS OF THIS SEASON:
15.7.-15.9.
67 won – 10 void – 48 lost
+9.76 points
125 bets - 125 points staked
ROI +7.81%
ROC +48.8%

FOOTBALL:
16/8/2016 Dinamo - (+0.25) RED BULL SALZBURG 1.83@Pinnacle FT 1:1 (+0.42)
16/8/2016 Dinamo - RB Salzburg OVER 2 GOALS 1.72@12Bet FT 1:1 (+/-0)
18/8/2016 ELQ: (-1) MACCABI TEL AVIV - Hajduk 1.98@Pinnacle FT 2:1 (+/-0)
18/8/2016 ELQ: Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hajduk OVER 2.25 GOALS 1.83@SBO FT 2:1 (+0.83)
18/8/2016 ELQ: Lokomotiva - (0) GENK 1.79@SBO FT 2:2 (+/-0)
18/8/2016 ELQ: Lokomotiva - Genk OVER 2 GOALS 1.61@Pinnacle FT 2:2 (+0.61)
19/8/2016 CFL: (-1) DINAMO - Rnk Split 1.79@Pinnacle FT 1:0 (+/-0)
20/8/2016 CFL: Slaven Belupo - (0) OSIJEK 2.02@Pinnacle FT 2:3 (+1.02)
20/8/2016 CFL: Inter - Lokomotiva OVER 2.5 GOALS 2.11@Pinnacle FT 2:1 (+1.11)
21/8/2016 CFL: Hajduk - Rijeka OVER 2 GOALS 1.83@Pinnacle FT 2:4 (+0.82)
21/8/2016 CFL: Hajduk - (-0.25) RIJEKA 1.99@Pinnacle FT 2:4 (+0.99)
24/8/2016 (-0.75) RED BULL SALZBURG - Dinamo Zagreb 1.84@SBO FT 1:1 (-1)
25/8/2016 Hajduk Split - (0) MACCABI TEL AVIV 1.87@Pinnacle, SBO FT 2:1 (-1)
25/8/2016 Hajduk Split - Maccabi Tel Aviv OVER 2.5 GOALS 2.07@SBO FT 2:1 (+1.07)
25/8/2016 Genk - (+1) LOKOMOTIVA 2.12@Pinnacle FT 2:0 (-1)
26/8/2016 Rnk Split - Inter UNDER 2.25 GOALS 1.84@12Bet FT 0:0 (+0.84)
27/8/2016 (0) LOKOMOTIVA - Hajduk 1.81@Pinnacle FT 0:2 (-1)
27/8/2016 Lokomotiva - Hajduk OVER 2.5 GOALS 2.13@SBO FT 0:2 (-1)
28/8/2016 Istra - (-1) DINAMO 1.91@Pinnacle FT 1:2 (+/-0)
5/9/2016 Croatia – Turkey UNDER 2.5 GOALS 1.78@Pinnacle FT 1:1 (+0.78)
5/9/2016 (-0.75) CROATIA – Turkey 1.70@SBO FT 1:1 (-1)
9/9/2016 CFL: Inter Zapresic – Hajduk OVER 2 GOALS 1.63@Pinnacle FT 1:1 (+/-0)
10/9/2016 CFL: Rnk Split – Istra DRAW 3.46@Pinnacle FT 0:3 (-1)
10/9/2016 CFL: (-1) DINAMO – Osijek 1.61@Pinnacle FT 0:1 (-1)
11/9/2016 CFL: Cibalia – (-0.75) RIJEKA 1.77@Pinnacle FT 0:0 (-1)
14/9/2016 CFL: (-1) LYON – Dinamo 1.85@Pinnacle FT 3:0 (+0.85)
14/9/2016 CFL: Lyon – Dinamo OVER 2.50 GOALS 1.91@12BET FT 3:0 (+0.91)

16.8.-15.9.2016.
12 wins – 5 void – 8 lost
+2.25 points

15.7.-15.9.
29 won – 9 void – 15 lost
+9.56 points

US OPEN (5 won - 1 void - 10 lost) -5.46 points
TENNIS:
28/8/2016 MARIN CILIC to win US OPEN OUTRIGHT 26.0@SBO (-1)
30/8/2016 (-2.5 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC -Yen-hsun Lu 1.85@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 7:6, 6:7, 7:6, 7:5 (-1)
30/8/2016 Feliciano Lopez - BORNA CORIC 2.60@Pinnacle (Coric retired) (+/-0)
30/8/2016 Kiki Bertens - ANA KONJUH 2.20@Pinnacle 3:6, 6:2, 4:6 (+1.2) 
31/8/2016 (+6 GAMES) MIRJANA LUCIC BARONI - Angelique Kerber 2.11@Pinnacle FT 2:6, 6:7 (+1.11)
31/8/2016 Sergiy Stakhovsky - Marin Cilic OVER 32,5 GAMES 1.97@Pinnacle FT 1:6, 2:6, 3:6 (-1)
31/8/2016 (+7.5 GAMES) SERGIY STAKHOVSKY - Marin Cilic 1.87@Pinnacle FT 1:6, 2:6, 3:6 (-1)
1/9/2016 Ivo Karlovic - Donald Young OVER 42,5 GAMES FT 6:4, 7:6, 6:4 (-1)
2/9/2016 (-4.5) MARIN CILIC - Jack Sock 1.83@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 3:6, 3:6 (-1)
3/9/2016 IVO KARLOVIC - Jared Donaldson 1.63@Pinnacle FT 6:4, 7:6, 6:3 (+0.63)
3/9/2016 Ivo Karlovic - Jared Donaldson OVER 42,5 GAMES 1.84@Pinnacle FT 6:4, 7:6, 6:3 (-1)
3/9/2016 ANA KONJUH - Varvara Lepchenko 1.72@Pinnacle FT 6:3, 3:6, 6:2 (+0.72)
5/9/2016 Kei Nishikori – (+5 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.84@Pinnacle FT 6:3, 6:4, 7:6 (-1)
5/9/2016 Kei Nishikori – Ivo Karlovic OVER 38.5 GAMES 1.88@Pinnacle FT 6:3, 6:4, 7:6 (-1)
5/9/2016 Agnieszka Radwanska – (+5.5 GAMES) ANA KONJUH 1.88@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 4:6 (+0.88)
7/9/2016 (+4 GAMES) ANA KONJUH - Karolina Pliskova 1.73@Pinnacle FT 2:6, 2:6 (-1)

Everything we earned in the first month, we lost in the 2nd.
16.8.-15.9.
5 won - 1 void - 10 lost
-5.46 points
15.7.-15.9.
17 won – 1 void - 20 lost
-4.84 points

WATERPOLO:
16/8/2016 (+3.5) BRAZIL - Croatia 1.67@Pinnacle FT 6:10 (-1)
16/8/2016 Brazil - Croatia Under 16.5 1.93@Pinnacle FT 6:10 (+0.93)
18/8/2016 (+0.5) MONTENEGRO – Croatia 1.92@Pinnacle FT 8:12 (-1)
18/8/2016 Montenegro – Croatia OVER 15.5 GOALS 1.93@Pinnacle FT 8:12 (+0.93)
20/8/2016 Croatia – (-1.5) SERBIA 1.71@Pinnacle FT 7:11 (+0.71)
3 won – 2 lost

+0.54 points

What can I say? Season is fairly profitably so far. I'm in the middle of the tennis-bad run, but since I already earned some points in 2nd part of September - it seems that "all the money I earn betting on football, I loose betting on tennis." But, it's far too early for conclusions. 

Everything

Hi everybody. Mad week is behind me, there was no usual Friday mail, but I decided not to get involved in yesterday's match. We'll have one bet only this weekend, and you can check it out at 3 PM. I'm finally done with stats update as well.

Btw, last weekend was good considering football, and bad considering tennis bets. But, I'm sure you already know that.

subota, 17. rujna 2016.

Davis cup

Marin Cilic - RICHARD GASQUET 2.99@Pinnacle

petak, 16. rujna 2016.

CFL weekend

(-0.75) LOKOMOTIVA – Cibalia 1.81@188Bet
Lokomotiva – Cibalia OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.83@Pinnacle
Hajduk - Slaven Belupo OVER 2.5 GOALS 2.06@12Bet
(-1) OSIJEK – Split 1.88@Pinnacle
Rijeka – (0) DINAMO 2.21@Pinnacle

DAVIS CUP, Friday

BORNA CORIC – Richard Gasguet 2.89@Pinnacle
Marin Cilic – Lucas Pouille OVER 38,5 GAMES 2.01@Pinnacle

Marin Cilic – (+1,5 SETS) LUCAS POUILLE 2.44@SBO

Davis Cup and CFL

Davis Cup semifinal Croatia vs France is scheduled for this weekend. Tennis picks coming at noon CET, CFL picks at 3 PM.
Let's hope profitable weekend is in front of us.

petak, 9. rujna 2016.

4 bets 4 the weekend and CL 1st round

I'm not getting involved in the mixed-doubles final of us.
Here are the bets for the weekend and for the first round of the Champions League.
I'll be sending the recap on Thursday.

Inter Zapresic – Hajduk OVER 2 GOALS 1.63@Pinnacle
Rnk Split – Istra DRAW 3.46@Pinnacle
(-1) DINAMO – Osijek 1.61@Pinnacle
Cibalia – (-0.75) RIJEKA 1.77@Pinnacle
(-1) LYON – Dinamo 1.85@Pinnacle
Lyon – Dinamo OVER 2.50 GOALS 1.91@12BET

srijeda, 7. rujna 2016.

US Open ends

Another bad day... And you probably think we're finally ran out of Croatian players in the US Open. But, Mate Pavic reaches the final in mixed doubles. So, tune in tomorrow at 3 PM for both football and possible tennis pick.

US Open QF

(+4 GAMES) ANA KONJUH - Karolina Pliskova 1.73@Pinnacle

ponedjeljak, 5. rujna 2016.

Day off today

Another losing day - 2 bets won, 3 lost. We might get involved in QF of the US Open, Ana Konjuh beat Radwanska, so tune in tomorrow at 3 PM CET.

5 bets for today

Remaining Croatian players had a day off yesterday. Before that, we had a small loss – two bets were won, and two lost. Karlovic and Konjuh are back in action, as well as Croatian National Team, in the World Cup Qualifiers.

WORLD CUP QUALIFIERS:
Croatia – Turkey UNDER 2.5 GOALS 1.78@Pinnacle
(-0.75) CROATIA – Turkey 1.70@SBO

US OPEN:
Kei Nishikori – (+5 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.84@Pinnacle
Kei Nishikori – Ivo Karlovic OVER 38.5 GAMES 1.88@Pinnacle

Agnieszka Radwanska – (+5.5 GAMES) ANA KONJUH 1.88@Pinnacle

petak, 2. rujna 2016.

US Open - 2 days

Not a good US OPen so far, but still enough time..

(-4.5) MARIN CILIC - Jack Sock 1.83@Pinnacle
IVO KARLOVIC - Jared Donaldson 1.63@Pinnacle
Ivo Karlovic - Jared Donaldson OVER 42,5 GAMES 1.84@Pinnacle
ANA KONJUH - Varvara Lepchenko 1.72@Pinnacle

četvrtak, 1. rujna 2016.

One pick for today

Marin Cilic was too good yesterday, but Mirjana Lucic played good and made our loss less than a point.

Ivo Karlovic - Donald Young OVER 42,5 GAMES

srijeda, 31. kolovoza 2016.

US Open, 2nd round

Coric retired, Konjuh won - as well as Karlovic, but we lost that bet. So, small profit yesterday.
Picks for today:

(+6 GAMES) MIRJANA LUCIC BARONI - Anhelique Kerber 2.11@Pinnacle
Sergiy Stakhovsky - Marin Cilic OVER 32,5 GAMES 1.97@Pinnacle
(+7.5 GAMES) SERGIY STAKHOVSKY - Marin Cilic 1.87@Pinnacle

I'll be publishing picks every day at 3 PM. Cheers!

utorak, 30. kolovoza 2016.

US Open, 1st round

Margin for Marin Cilic's match was very well set (9,5 games) and he won 6-4, 7-5 and 6-1, so no regrets there. Mirjana Lucic Baroni also won, and today we have 3 matches involving Croatian players.

(-2.5 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC -Yen-hsun Lu 1.85@Pinnacle
Feliciano Lopez - BORNA CORIC 2.60@Pinnacle
Kiki Bertens - ANA KONJUH 2.20@Pinnacle

US Open oicks at 3 PM CET

Tune in!

nedjelja, 28. kolovoza 2016.

US Open outright

Marin Cilic to win US Open
26.0@SBO 1 point stake

Better odds are available, but not at the best 3. If I was oddscompiler, I'd set it somewhere between 12 and 15, so definitely a value bet.

četvrtak, 25. kolovoza 2016.

weekend picks

Rnk Split - Inter UNDER 2.25 GOALS 1.84@12Bet
(0) LOKOMOTIVA - Hajduk 1.81@Pinnacle
Lokomotiva - Hajduk OVER 2.5 GOALS 2.13@SBO
Istra - (-1) DINAMO 1.91@Pinnacle

Not a good midweek, but we were quite unlucky. But Dinamo is in the CL. And I hope will see a lots of value im matches vs Juve, Sevilla and Lyon.

ponedjeljak, 22. kolovoza 2016.

Midweek bets

Here are the CL and EL qualifiers picks for Wednesday and Thursday.

(-0.75) RED BULL SALZBURG - Dinamo Zagreb 1.84@SBO
Hajduk Split - (0) MACCABI TEL AVIV 1.87@Pinnacle, SBO
Hajduk Split - Maccabi Tel Aviv OVER 2.5 GOALS 2.07@SBO
Genk - (+1) LOKOMOTIVA 2.12@Pinnacle

There'll be no tennis picks this week, I'm getting ready for the US Open

nedjelja, 21. kolovoza 2016.

Great weekend

Hello. All the bets won, except for Dinamo-Split. And that one was void. Tomorrow at 11PM CET you can expect the Uefa leagues qualifiers bets. Cheers

subota, 20. kolovoza 2016.

Final bet of the Rio OG

Waterpolo
Croatia - (-1.5) SERBIA 1.71@Pinnacle


petak, 19. kolovoza 2016.

CFL weekend

CFL:
(-1) DINAMO - Rnk Split 1.79@Pinnacle
Slaven Belupo - (0) OSIJEK 2.02@Pinnacle
Inter - Lokomotiva OVER 2.5 GOALS 2.11@Pinnacle
Hajduk - Rijeka OVER 2 GOALS 1.83@Pinnacle
Hajduk - (-0.25) RIJEKA 1.99@Pinnacle

četvrtak, 18. kolovoza 2016.

ELQ today

ELQ:
(-1) MACCABI TEL AVIV - Hajduk 1.98@Pinnacle
Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hajduk OVER 2.25 GOALS 1.83@SBO
Lokomotiva - (0) GENK 1.79@SBO
lokomotiva - Genk OVER 2 GOALS 1.61@Pinnacle

srijeda, 17. kolovoza 2016.

waterpolo

I had connection problems yesterday... Unfortunately.

Waterpolo: Olympic Games

(+0.5) MONTENEGRO - Croatia 1.92@Pinnacle
Montenegro - Croatia OVER 15.5 1.93@Pinnacle

Football picks at 5 PM.

ponedjeljak, 15. kolovoza 2016.

Today

More or less another "void" day yesterday. Bets for today

CLQ
Dinamo - (+0.25) RED BULL SALZBURG 1.83@Pinnacle
Dinamo - RB Salzburg OVER 2 GOALS 1.72@12Bet

Waterpolo
(+3.5) BRAZIL - Croatia 1.67@Pinnacle
Brazil - Croatia Under 16.5 1.93@Pinnacle


Bets 4 insomniacs :)

Marin Cilic, Borna Coric and Donna Vekic play their matches as well, but only basketball and handball on our menu this night.

BASKETBALL: Olympic Games
Lithuania – Croatia OVER 152 POINTS 1.93@Pinnacle
LITHUANIA – Croatia 1.45@Pinnacle

HANDBALL: Olympic Games
Croatia – Tunisia OVER 53,5 GOALS 1.85@Pinnacle

Croatia – (+5) TUNISIA 1.92@Pinnacle

nedjelja, 14. kolovoza 2016.

Stats 15/7-14/8/2016

Incredible day yesterday – all 3 football bets were void! That's once in a lifetime, I'd say. Waterpolo brought small loss. But, the stats after first month say that I brought back all the money I lost in the previous season!

45 won – 4 void – 26 lost
75 bets – 75 points staked
+12.34 points
ROI 16.45%
ROC 61.7%

These are all the bets of the 2016/2017 season so far. More bets coming at noon CET.

FOOTBALL:
15/7/2016 CFL: Slaven Belupo - Inter Zapresic UNDER 2,5 GOALS 1.88@Pinnacle FT 2:0 (+0.88)
16/7/2016 CFL: RNK Split - (-0.5) RIJEKA 2.16@Pinnacle FT 0:3 (+1.16)
17/7/2016 CFL: (-1) DINAMO - Lokomotiva 1.42@Pinnacle FT 3:1 (+0.42)
20/7/2016 CLQ: Dinamo – (+1.5) VARDAR - 2.07@SBO FT 3:2 (+1.07)
20/7/2016 CLQ: Dinamo – Vardar OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.91@Pinnacle FT 3:2 (+0.91)
21/7/2016 ELQ: Lokomotiva – RoPS Rovaniemi OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.91@Pinnacle FT 3:0 (+0.91)
21/7/2016 ELQ: Hajduk – (+1) CSMS IASI – 1.78@Pinnacle FT 2:1 (+/-0)
23/7/2016 CFL:Slaven Belupo – Cibalia UNDER 2,50 1.80@SBO FT 3:2 (-1)
23/7/2016 CFL: (-0.5) SLAVEN BELUPO – Cibalia 1.72@Pinnacle FT 3:2 (+0.72)
23/7/2016 CFL: Inter – (0) OSIJEK 1.96@SBO FT 0:2 (+0.96)
24/7/2016 CFL: (-0.5) LOKOMOTIVA – Rnk Split 2.04@Pinnacle FT 0:0 (-1)
26/7/2016 CLQ: Dinamo Zagreb – (+1.5) DINAMO TBILISI - 1.90@Pinnacle FT 2:0 (-1)
26/7/2016 CLQ: Dinamo Zagreb – Dinamo Tbilisi OVER 2.5 GOALS - 1.80@Pinnacle FT 2:0 (-1)
28/7/2016 ELQ: (-0.5) OLEKSANDRIYA - Hajduk - 2.43@Pinnacle FT 0:3 (-1)
28/7/2016 ELQ: Oleksandriya – Hajduk OVER 2 GOALS 1.93@Pinnacle FT 0:3 (+0.93)
28/7/2016 ELQ: Lokomotiva – Vorskla Poltava OVER 2.00 GOALS 1.82@12Bet FT 0:0 (-1)
28/7/2016 ELQ: Lokomotiva – (+0.25) VORSKLA POLTAVA 1.79@Pinnacle FT 0:0 (+0.4)
2/8/2016 CLQ: Dinamo Tbilisi – Dinamo Zagreb UNDER 2.50 1.85@Pinnacle FT 0:1 (+0.85)
4/8/2016 ELQ: Hajduk Split – Oleksandriya OVER 2.50 1.97@12Bet FT 3:1 (+0.97)
4/8/2016 ELQ: Rijeka – (+0.25) BASAKSEHIR 2.08@Pinnacle FT 2:2 (+0.54)
5/8/2016 CFL: (-0.75) SLAVEN BELUPO - Rnk Split 1.81@Pinnacle FT 0:0 (-1)
6/8/2016 CFL: Cibalia - (-1) DINAMO ZAGREB 1.76@Pinnacle FT 0:2 (+0.76)
7/8/2016 CFL: Hajduk - Istra OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.85@Pinnacle FT 4:0 (+0.85)
10/8/2016 CFL: Hajduk - (0) DINAMO 1.75@Pinnacle FT 0:4 (+0.75)
13/8/2016 CFL: Rnk Split – (+0.5) CIBALIA 1.82@Pinnacle FT 2:2 (+0.82)
14/8/2016 CFL: Istra – (0) SLAVEN BELUPO 1.94@SBO FT 0:0 (+/-0)
14/8/2016 CFL: (0) OSIJEK – Hajduk 1.73@SBO FT 1:1 (+/-0)
14/8/2016 CFL: Osijek – Hajduk OVER 2 GOALS 1.79@Pinnacle FT 1:1 (+/-0)

17 won – 4 void – 7 lost
+6.9 points

TENNIS:
DAVIS CUP QUARTERFINAL (PORTLAND) – USA vs. CROATIA
15/7/2016 Jack Sock - (-2 GAMES) MARIN CILIC 1.84@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 3:6, 6:3, 6:4, 6:4 (-1)
15/7/2016 Jack Sock - Marin Cilic OVER 42,5 GAMES 2.04@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 3:6, 6:3, 6:4, 6:4 (+1.04)
15/7/2016 John Isner - Borna Coric OVER 38,5 GAMES 1.85@Pinnacle - 1 point FT 6:4, 6:4, 6:3 (-1)
ATP WASHINGTON
21/7/2016 Brian Baker – (-2 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.81@Pinnacle FT 3:6, 7:6 (+0.81)
22/7/2016 IVO KARLOVIC – Jack Sock 2.26@Pinnacle FT 7:6, 7:6 (+1.26)
22/7/2016 Ivo Karlovic – Jack Sock OVER 25.5 GAMES 1.76@Pinnacle FT 7:6, 7:6 (+0.76)
23/7/2016 Steve Johnson – (+1.5 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.88@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 4:6 (+0.88)
23/7/2016 Steve Johnson – Ivo Karlovic OVER 25,5 GAMES 1.75@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 4:6 (-1)
24/7/2016 (+2 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC – Gael Monfils 1.97@Pinnacle FT 7:5, 6:7, 4:6
24/7/2016 Ivo Karlovic – Gael Monfils OVER 25,5 GAMES 2.02@Pinnacle FT 7:5, 6:7, 4:6
ATP TORONTO
26/7/2016 Borna Coric – Tomas Berdych OVER 20.5 GAMES 1.78@Pinnacle FT 6:4, 1:6, 4:6 (+0.78)
27/7/2016 (-1.5 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC – Taylor Harry Fritz 1.81@Pinnacle FT 6:7, 7:6, 6:2 (+0.81)
27/7/2016 Ivo Karlovic – Taylor Harry Fritz UNDER 25 GAMES 2.15@Pinnacle FT 6:7, 7:6, 6:2 (-1)
27/7/2016 Marin Cilic – Ivo Karlovic OVER 25.5 GAMES 1.75@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 6:7 (-1)
27/7/2016 Marin Cilic – (+2 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.86@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 6:7 (+0.86)
WTA MONTREAL
28/7/2016 Mirjana Lucic Baroni – ANGELIQUE KERBER 1.47@Pinnacle FT 3:6, 6:4, 3:6 (+0.47)
28/7/2016 Mirjana Lucic Baroni – Angelique Kerber UNDER 21 GAMES 1.95@Pinnacle FT 3:6, 6:4, 3:6 (-1)
OLYMPIC GAMES, RIO DE JANEIRO
6/8/2016 (+2.5) BORNA CORIC – Gilles Simon 1.90@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 6:7 (-1)
6/8/2016 Grigor Dimitrov – Marin Cilic OVER 22 GAMES 1.76@Pinnacle FT 1:6, 4:6 (-1)
6/8/2016 MARIN CILIC/MARIN DRAGANJA – Novak Djokovic/Nenad Zimonjic 2.53@Pinnacle FT 2:6, 2:6 (-1)
11/8/2016 Gael Monfils – Marin Cilic OVER 22.5 GAMES 1.94@Pinnacle FT 6:7, 6:3, 6:4 (+0.94)
11/8/2016 Gael Monfils – (+2.5 GAMES) MARIN CILIC 1.97@Pinnacle FT 6:7, 6:3, 6:4 (-1)

12 won - 10 lost
+0.6 points

OTHERS:
BASKETBALL: Olympic Games
7/8/2016 Croatia – Spain UNDER 148.5 POINTS 1.93@Pinnacle FT 72:70 (+0.93)
7/8/2016 Croatia – (-7.5) SPAIN 1.74@Pinnacle FT 72:70 (-1)
9/8/2016 Argentina – Croatia UNDER 159 POINTS 2.09@Pinnacle FT 90:82 (-1)
9/8/2016 ARGENTINA – Croatia 1.79@Pinnacle FT 90:82 (+0.79)
11/8/2016 Brazil - (+4.5) CROATIA 1.84@Pinnacle FT 76:80 (+0.84)
11/8/2016 Brazil - Croatia UNDER 148.5 POINTS 1.98@Pinnacle FT 76:80 (-1)
13/8/2016 Croatia – (+11.5) NIGERIA 1.92@12Bet FT 76:90 (+0.92)
13/8/2016 Croatia – Nigeria OVER 161 POINTS 1.93@Pinnacle FT 76:90 (+0.93)

5 won – 3 lost
+1.41 points

HANDBALL: Olympic Games
7/8/2016 CROATIA – Qatar 1.48@Pinnacle FT 23:30 (-1)
7/8/2016 Croatia – Qatar OVER 51.5 GOALS 2.00@Pinnacle FT 23:30 (+1)
9/8/2016 Argentina – Croatia OVER 49 GOALS 1.88@Pinnacle FT 26:27 (+0.88)
9/8/2016 (+6.5 GOALS) ARGENTINA – Croatia 1.88@Pinnacle FT 26:27 (+0.88)
11/8/2016 Denmark - (+2.5) CROATIA 1.92@Pinnacle FT 24:27 (+0.92)
11/8/2016 Denmark - Croatia UNDER 53.5 GOALS 2.00@Pinnacle FT 24:27 (+1)
13/8/2016 Croatia – France UNDER 54.5 1.87@Pinnacle FT 29:28 (-1)
13/8/2016 CROATIA (+3.5) – France 1.89@Pinnacle FT 29:28 (+0.89)

6 won – 2 lost
+3.57 points

WATERPOLO: Olympic Games
6/8/2016 Croatia – (+2.5) USA 1.70@SBO FT 7:5 (+0.7)
6/8/2016 Croatia – USA UNDER 17.5 GOALS 1.75@SBO FT 7:5 (+0.75)
8/8/2016 Croatia - (+0.5) MONTENEGRO 1.92@SBO FT 8:7 (-1)
10/8/2016 Croatia – (+1.5) SPAIN 1.92@SBO FT 4:9 (+0.92)
10/8/2016 Croatia – Spain UNDER 17.5 GOALS 1.70@SBO FT 4:9 (+0.7)
12/8/2016 Croatia – (0) ITALY 1.95@SBO FT 10:7 (-1)
12/8/2016 Croatia – Italy UNDER 16,5 GOALS 2.00@SBO FT 10:7 (-1)
14/8/2016 (+5.5) FRANCE - Croatia 1.79@Pinnacle FT 9:8
14/8/2016 France - Croatia UNDER 18.5 GOALS 1.93@Pinnacle FT 9:8

5 won – 4 lost

-0.14 points

Sorry for the delay - here are the bets

But, I finally decided that I won't be getting involved in today's tennis matches. Ana Konjuh and Donna Vekic play in the qualifiers, Borna Coric vs Benoit Paire in Cincinati. But, who knows - if they win, we might have a bet on their tomorrow matches.
Here are the waterpolo bets:

(+5.5) FRANCE - Croatia 1.79@Pinnacle
France - Croatia UNDER 18.5 GOALS 1.93@Pinnacle



Short recap and more bets coming

Another good day, with 3 of 4 bets landing. Nigeria demolished Croatia in basketball tournament (90-76), and after wins vs Spain and Brazil, Croatia might be out of quarterfinals, it might ended 4th and play vs USA in the QF, but it might also end up as high as 2nd place... The last match vs Lithuania will decide.
Croatia managed to beat France in handball "El Classico" by one goal (France missed the penalty in the final seconds), but too many goals scored. But - when we have 3 of 4, I can't complain - if only every day could be like this one.
Let me remind you - we have 3 bets for today published on Friday, and since waterpolo match Croatia - France is scheduled for tonight, tune in at 12:30 CET for today (we might also have a tennis pick or two).

subota, 13. kolovoza 2016.

Bets 4 Saturday

BASKETBALL: Olympic Games
Croatia – (+11.5) NIGERIA 1.92@12Bet
Croatia – Nigeria OVER 161 POINTS 1.93@Pinnacle

HANDBALL: Olympic Games
Croatia – France UNDER 54.5 1.87@Pinnacle

CROATIA (+3.5) – France 1.89@Pinnacle

Bets coming in 3 hours

So far, Croatian waterpolo team didn't play well, while Italian did. And yesterday, Croatia played the best match of the tournament, and Italy (and they looked really good so far) - the worst. Nothing to complain about 10-7 Croatia win – except for the fact they'd be satisfied with 9-7 as well, and our UNDER bet would be won.

We lost 2 points there, but Cibalia returned after being 2:0 down at Rnk Split, so we won CFL bet. The Olympic Bets for today are coming at 1 PM CET.

četvrtak, 11. kolovoza 2016.

6 bets and short recap

Very good day at the office, with 4 of 6 bets won.
Marin Cilic won the first set in tie-break, and lost the other two. He lost his serve in 2nd set when it was 4:4, and when Monfils served for the set, Cilic had a break ball – and after a long rally – he made an unforced error. If he had won that point, maybe both of aour bets would be won, and not only the OVER bet.
Both handball and basketball team of Croatia won their respective matches, and since we had a margin on our side, and Croatia was in the lead in both matches since the beginning, it was pretty much easy to watch. However, we lost basketball UNDER bet, bot won handball UNDER bet. But, non stop continues – here are the bets for today.

Here are the football bets for the weekend, and a pick for today's waterpolo match.
Btw, we might have another bet on tennis (Ivo Karlovic plays at Los Cabos ATP), but first he has to beat Granollers-Pujol. Tune in this afternoon, and Saturday morning as well – as we'll probably have a handball or/and basketball bet(s).

FOOTBALL:
CFL: Rnk Split – (+0.5) CIBALIA 1.82@Pinnacle
CFL: Istra – (0) SLAVEN BELUPO 1.94@SBO
CFL: (0) OSIJEK – Hajduk 1.73@SBO
CFL: Osijek – Hajduk OVER 2 GOALS 1.79@Pinnacle

Split – Slaven will play tonight, Saturday is the day off for football, while Sunday brings us 2 mtaches.

WATERPOLO: Olympic Games
Croatia – (0) ITALY 1.95@SBO
Croatia – Italy UNDER 16,5 GOALS 2.00@SBO


Bets 4 today

Great day yesterday, all 3 bets won. Marin Cilic will play today. And handball and basketball team as well...

Basketball:
Brazil - (+4.5) CROATIA 1.84@Pinnacle
Brazil - Croatia UNDER 148.5 POINTS 1.98@Pinnacle
HANDBALL:
Denmark - (+2.5) CROATIA 1.92@Pinnacle
Denmark - Croatia UNDER 53.5 GOALS 2.00@Pinnacle

srijeda, 10. kolovoza 2016.

Here are the bets!

Both matches are scheduled to start after midnight CET.

WATERPOLO: Olympic Games
Croatia – (+1.5) SPAIN 1.92@SBO
Croatia – Spain UNDER 17.5 GOALS 1.70@SBO

TENNIS: Olympic Games
Gael Monfils – Marin Cilic OVER 22.5 GAMES 1.94@Pinnacle

Gael Monfils – (+2.5 GAMES) MARIN CILIC 1.97@Pinnacle

Recap and more bets coming

Just a few sentences about last night's matches. Both matches between Argentina and Croatia were more than tight – Croatia somehow managed to win in handball (by only one goal), while O/U margin was completely wrong as well, so both bets won. Basketball match was decieded by too many Croatian technical fouls (and that's one of the reasons why our UNDER bet was lost). However, 3 bets won and 1 lost – that's not the result I'll complain.

I updated the stats – football bet brough 5.33 points profit, tennis 0.66 points, and other sports (basketball, handball and waterpolo) brought additional 1.93 points profit (if we take a look at every single sport, only basketball produced loss – 0.28 points). Total profit: 7.92 points.
Alotgether, we already had 54 bets, 54 points staked: 33 won – 1 void – 20 lost.
ROI is at 14,7%, and since our advised bank is 20 points – is 39.6 %.
I must say I'd be staisfied with the ROI like this at the end of the season.

I'll publish detailed updated stats (and all the bets of the season) on Monday, August 15th. Since the first match we had a bet was played on July 15th, I decided that that will be the main „Recap-day“.


Btw, you can expect bets for tonight soon - at noon CET.

utorak, 9. kolovoza 2016.

Postponed match

Hajduk and Dinamo will play the biggest derby of Croatian Football tomorrow at 7 PM CET.
So, here's the pick:

Hajduk - (0) DINAMO 1.75@Pinnacle

Picks for today

Double Argentina-Croatia clash, more or less in the same time. Another sleepless night in front of me :)

HANDBALL:
Argentina – Croatia OVER 49 GOALS 1.88@Pinnacle
(+6.5 GOALS) ARGENTINA – Croatia 1.88@Pinnacle

BASKETBALL:
Argentina – Croatia UNDER 159 POINTS 2.09@Pinnacle

ARGENTINA – Croatia 1.79@Pinnacle

Recap + picks coming

This night, we were more than unlucky. In the equal match, Croatia scored the winning goal 8 seconds before the end. In the 1st round match, everything went like I expected, and both of our waterpolo bets were won.

First match of Croatian handball team produced enough goals, but Qatar was much better team from the beginning and the deserved to win, so a small loss there.

I suppose you know that Croatia surprisingly beat Spain in the first round of the basketball tournament, but the UNDER bet was won, so small loss there as well.

Tennis brought 3 points loss, but we were unlucky once more, as Borna Coric lost 6:4 and 7:6, just enough to loose our bet. Both bets involving Marin Cilic weren't even close.

And, last - but obviously not least, 2 football bets were won, one lost, so football and waterpolo were the only profitable sports.

I'll publish stats of the season so far later today or tomorrow, and you can expect additional Olympics picks today at 2 PM CET.

ponedjeljak, 8. kolovoza 2016.

Monday, 1 bet only

Waterpolo, Olympics
Croatia - (+0.5) MONTENEGRO 1.92@SBO

Recap of the weekend coming later today or tomorrow morning.
But, tune i  tomorrow at noon, for more picks.

petak, 5. kolovoza 2016.

Rio Olympic Games - 9 bets

Ok, here we go. All bets at 1 point flat stakes.
I'm „offline“ for the weekend, but definitely tune in on Monday morning.

OTHERS:

BASKETBALL: Olympic Games
Croatia – Spain UNDER 148.5 POINTS 1.93@Pinnacle
Croatia – (-7.5) SPAIN 1.74@Pinnacle

HANDBALL: Olympic Games
CROATIA – Qatar 1.48@Pinnacle
Croatia – Qatar OVER 51.5 GOALS 2.00@Pinnacle

WATERPOLO: Olympic Games
Croatia – (+2.5) USA 1.70@SBO
Croatia – USA UNDER 17.5 GOALS 1.75@SBO

TENNIS: Olympic Games
(+2.5) BORNA CORIC – Gilles Simon 1.90@Pinnacle
Grigor Dimitrov – Marin Cilic OVER 22 GAMES 1.76@Pinnacle

MARIN CILIC/MARIN DRAGANJA – Novak Djokovic/Nenad Zimonjic 2.53@Pinnacle

CFL bets this weekend

CFL: (-0.75) SLAVEN BELUPO - Rnk Split 1.81@Pinnacle
CFL: Cibalia - (-1) DINAMO ZAGREB 1.76@Pinnacle
CFL: Hajduk - Istra OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.85@Pinnacle

I'm not getting involved with Inter - Rijeka match.
Lokomotiva and Osijek will play on Monday, we might have a bet, so tune in on Monday. And at 3PM CET if you're interested in tennis and other sports at the Olympics.

Mideweek recap, pick(s) coming soon

Great midweek, with all the bets making some profit.
Two Dinamos played boring match, just like I expected (Zagreb won 1:0),
Hajduk prooved that is much better than Olexandriya (3:1), and that defense is the worst part of the team, while Rijeka said goodbye to Europe (although they were 1:0 and 2:1 ahead), just like I expected.
So, 2.36 points profit - not bad at all.

I'll be publishing CFL pick(s) for the weekend at noon CET.

Croatia's national teams in Rio will be in action this weekend, so you expect more picks at 3 PM CET.

utorak, 2. kolovoza 2016.

UEFA Leagues qualifiers bets

CLQ: Dinamo Tbilisi – Dinamo Zagreb UNDER 2.50 1.85@Pinnacle
ELQ: Hajduk Split – Oleksandriya OVER 2.50 1.97@12Bet
ELQ: Rijeka – (+0.25) BASAKSEHIR 2.08@Pinnacle


No value in current Vorskla – Lokomotiva odds.

Picks coming soon

Hello everybody!

Busy week starts today. We'll have a pick for today, but you can expect the picks for Thursday's matches as well today. From now on - I'll be announcing time of picks in CET, so if you're in the UK - it's minus one hour. So, today you can expect them at noon CET.


ponedjeljak, 1. kolovoza 2016.

Recap of the past week

If I decided to take all the bets I mentioned, 2 bets would be won (making more than 3 points of profit), one would be half and 2 completely lost (-2.5 points), so not much of a harm done. Specially if we know that Cibalia - Inter match ended up 3:3 (and that's definitely not a result which I expect when I bet on draw), while Hajduk scored the only goal in the injury time.

But, let's take a look at midweek disaster. The only bet that was completely won was surprising Hajduk's 3:0 away win, but since I thought Olexandriya was much better team, that match brought us small loss.

Lokomotiva and Vorskla played a boring match, in which Lokomotiva was better team, but still - 0.4 points won there - but 1 point lost, as I expected at least 2 or 3 goals.

The match that cost us the most was between two Dinamos. Of course Tbilisi had a chance to score in 89th minute (if the match ended 2:1, both of our bets would be won), but goalkeeper saved it brilliantly.

I definitely won't cry, as 2.5 points minus after a good start of the season can be won back soon. We have a busy week in front of us, as 2nd matches are scheduled, and the Rio Olympics are right ahaed of us, with Croatian national team competing in basketball, handball, waterpolo and tennis, while I really don't see me getting involved in the remaining sports. But, who knows...

petak, 29. srpnja 2016.

No bets this weekend

If I had to choose a bet for each match, I would pick:
(-1.5) Dinamo, draws at Cibalia and Osijek' home matches, and (-0.25) away wins of Hajduk and Lokomotiva. But I don't so I won't.
More about horrible midweek on Monday...

srijeda, 27. srpnja 2016.

Tennis bets Wednesday July 27th

Two points lost on football, as match between 2 Dinamos ended 2:0 (which is the only possible result that could bring us -2 points), while we made 0.6 points profit as 2 of 3 our tennis bets were won. Croatian clash in Toronto tonight, which means there's a possibility of another tennis bet tomorrow, and we're getting involved in female tennis for the first time as well (match is scheduled for 1 AM GMT)

TENNIS:
ATP TORONTO
Marin Cilic – Ivo Karlovic OVER 25.5 GAMES 1.75@Pinnacle
Marin Cilic – (+2 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.86@Pinnacle
WTA MONTREAL
Mirjana Lucic Baroni – ANGELIQUE KERBER 1.47@Pinnacle

Mirjana Lucic Baroni – Angelique Kerber UNDER 21 GAMES 1.95@Pinnacle

utorak, 26. srpnja 2016.

CLQ and ELQ bets for this mid-week

Here are the bets for today and Thursday. All bets at 1 point flat stakes.

CLQ: Dinamo Zagreb – (+1.5) DINAMO TBILISI - 1.90@Pinnacle
CLQ: Dinamo Zagreb – Dinamo Tbilisi OVER 2.5 GOALS - 1.80@Pinnacle
ELQ: (-0.5) OLEKSANDRIYA - Hajduk - 2.43@Pinnacle
ELQ: Oleksandriya – Hajduk OVER 2.00 GOALS 1.93@Pinnacle
ELQ: Lokomotiva – Vorskla Poltava OVER 2.00 GOALS - 1.82@12Bet
ELQ: Lokomotiva – (+0.25) VORSKLA POLTAVA - 1.79@Pinnacle


No value at Istanbul Basaksehir – Rijeka bet at the moment.

3 bets at ATP Toronto today

TENNIS:
ATP TORONTO
(-1.5 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC – Taylor Harry Fritz 1.81@Pinnacle
Ivo Karlovic – Taylor Harry Fritz UNDER 25 GAMES 2.15@Pinnacle
Borna Coric – Tomas Berdych OVER 20.5 GAMES 1.78@Pinnacle


Football bets coming up at noon GMT.

Last week recap + bets coming

We were few minutes away from a 100-percent midweek, but a goal that Frank Ohandza scored for Hajduk's win in 90th minute made Hajduk – (+1) Iasi bet a void. On Wednesday, Dinamo beat Vardar 3:2 (they were goal behind twice, they scored first 2 goals from the spot – and first penalty was more than doubtful), while the winning goal came after deflection. But, both of our bets on that match were won comfortably. Lokomotiva beat RoPS easily, they had a player more for almost an hour, but after 2:0 (in 29th minute) they slowed down and we had to wait till 83rd minute to win a bet.
CFL weekend brought us 2 winning and 2 losing bets. Slaven Belupo beat Cibalia 3:2, but the match with couple of spectacular goals just coudn't end up under 2.50 goals. Osijek won 2nd consecutive away match, while Lokomotiva and Rnk Split played the worst match of the season, which ended 0:0, so a small loss on CFL weekend.

Everything is well known about Ivo Karlovic's tennis. He's the tallest player on tour and he serves great. And he also loses his serves very rarely. He didn't lost serve vs Baker, Sock and Johnson, but he did in the final vs Gael Monfils twice. But, as he won the 1st set, +2 games Asian Handicap margin proved to be enough to win this bet.
Ivo plays at Toronto this week, as well as Borna Coric (who beat another Croatian player Ivan Dodig in the first round), while Mirjana Lucic Baroni passed the 1st round in WTA Montreal (her second round match is scheduled for tomorrow, so tune in aroun 11 AM GMT, no matter on the outcome of Karlovic's and Coric's matches). We're getting involved in today's tennis matches as well, so tune in again at 11 AM GMT.

FOOTBALL:

15/7/2016 Slaven Belupo - Inter Zapresic UNDER 2,5 GOALS 1.88@Pinnacle FT 2:0 (+0.88)
16/7/2016 RNK Split - (-0.5) RIJEKA 2.16@Pinnacle FT 0:3 (+1.16)
17/7/2016 (-1) DINAMO - Lokomotiva 1.42@Pinnacle FT 3:1 (+0.42)
20/7/2016 CLQ: Dinamo – (+1.5) VARDAR - 2.07@SBO FT 3:2 (+1.07)
20/7/2016 CLQ: Dinamo – Vardar OVER 2.5 GOALS - 1.91@Pinnacle FT 3:2 (+0.91)
21/7/2016 ELQ: Lokomotiva – RoPS Rovaniemi OVER 2.5 GOALS 1.91@Pinnacle FT 3:0 (+0.91)
21/7/2016 ELQ: Hajduk – (+1) CSMS IASI – 1.78@Pinnacle FT 2:1 (+/-0)
23/7/2016 Slaven Belupo – Cibalia UNDER 2,50 1.80@SBO FT 3:2 (-1)
23/7/2016 (-0.5) SLAVEN BELUPO – Cibalia 1.72@Pinnacle FT 3:2 (+0.72)
23/7/2016 Inter – (0) OSIJEK 1.96@SBO FT 0:2 (+0.96)
24/7/2016 (-0.5) LOKOMOTIVA – Rnk Split 2.04@Pinnacle FT 0:0 (-1)
+5.03 points

TENNIS:
DAVIS CUP QUARTERFINAL (PORTLAND) – USA vs. CROATIA
15/7/2016 Jack Sock - (-2 GAMES) MARIN CILIC 1.84@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 3:6, 6:3, 6:4, 6:4 (-1)
15/7/2016 Jack Sock - Marin Cilic OVER 42,5 GAMES 2.04@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 3:6, 6:3, 6:4, 6:4 (+1.04)
15/7/2016 John Isner - Borna Coric OVER 38,5 GAMES 1.85@Pinnacle - 1 point FT 6:4, 6:4, 6:3 (-1)
ATP WASHINGTON
21/7/2016 Brian Baker – (-2 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.81@Pinnacle FT 3:6, 7:6 (+0.81)
22/7/2016 IVO KARLOVIC – Jack Sock 2.26@Pinnacle FT 7:6, 7:6 (+1.26)
22/7/2016 Ivo Karlovic – Jack Sock OVER 25.5 GAMES 1.76@Pinnacle FT 7:6, 7:6 (+0.76)
23/7/2016 Steve Johnson – (+1.5 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.88@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 4:6 (+0.88)
23/7/2016 Steve Johnson – Ivo Karlovic OVER 25,5 GAMES 1.75@Pinnacle FT 4:6, 4:6 (-1)
24/7/2016 (+2 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC – Gael Monfils 1.97@Pinnacle FT 7:5, 6:7, 4:6
24/7/2016 Ivo Karlovic – Gael Monfils OVER 25,5 GAMES 2.02@Pinnacle FT 7:5, 6:7, 4:6


+3.74 points

Picks coming at noon GMT

If you are interested in UEFA CL  and EL picks for this week, tune in at noon GMT

nedjelja, 24. srpnja 2016.

Sunday's tennis

Ivo Karlovic is in his 2nd final in 2 weeks and he'll try to reach his 8th career title.

TENNIS: 
24/7/2016 (+2 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC – Gael Monfils 1.97@Pinnacle

24/7/2016 Ivo Karlovic – Gael Monfils OVER 25,5 GAMES 2.02@Pinnacle

subota, 23. srpnja 2016.

Saturday's tennis

TENNIS:
Steve Johnson – (+1.5 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.88@Pinnacle

Johnson – Karlovic OVER 25,5 GAMES 1.75@Pinnacle

Recap of the previos season and intro for this one

It took me some time, but there it is – lessons learned from the previous distaster season and intro for the new one, that already started.

2015/16 season stats: 
113 picks - 113 points staked
-10.96 point loss
51 won - 6 void - 56 lost
-9.7% ROI
-54.8% ROC
(advised bank: 20 points)

What have I learned? I'm definitely sure that I was giving too much attention to the every single article I read. I was trying too have all the possible info, but in some matches as a result I couldn't see the forrest for the trees.
I was also spending too much time on writing my previews – which are not THAT important, obviously – as the correct picks!
We were also quite unlucky in more than a few matches, but I really don't think that anyone will benefit if I list the matches in which „we“ conceeded a goal in the injury time. It's just the part of the sports, and I'd be definitely loosing nerves once again – and that's not necessary, not at all.

So, what has changed this season? I definitely decided that I'll be publishing all the football picks for the weekend on Friday. Why? Well, as you would assume, I love my two little daughters very much, and the time I'm spending with them during the weekends is just precious. And since this season this is just a blog, so no strings attached, I'm just doing it to prove myself (and to my ex-subscribers, at least to those who care) that the last season was just something that's happening. I'll still be watching as all the matches I can, I'll be watching highlights of each match more than once and I'll definitely know which players are suspended and injured. But, no previews.

How come I decided to add picks for tennis, and later on, the other sports in which Croatian athletes compete? Well, I'm a die hard sports fan. And I was training tennis when I was a kid, and I definitely (theoretically) know everything I need to know about tennis. Tennis is not that hard to cover for the obvious reason – there's only two players to analyze (or 2 doubles). I'll be publishing picks only in the matches in which Croatian players are involved, and only in the ATP tournaments (ATP 250, 500 and 1000) and Grand Slams (no challangers or futures, as in some cases limits on the matches in these tournaments are even lower than on the CFL. Can you believe that's possible? I'll be mostly focused on the mens' singles, which means only the matches of Marin Cilic, Ivo Karlovic and Borna Coric, sometimes mens' doubles (as Ivan Dodig with Brazilian Marcelo Melo makes one of the best doubles of the world), sometimes
ladies' singles and never ladies' or mix doubles.

What about the other sports? We have Olympics in Rio really soon, Croatia has team in basketball, handball and waterpolo, and Sports Illustrated thinks that we'll get as much as 10 medals. I'm not yet sure how often will I get involved with the remaining sports, but if I do, those will be available at Pinnacle or SBO.

And one last thing – sometimes we'll have a pick(s) even on Saturday or Sunday (not CFL, only tennis and other sports). I have to go to work on at least 3 or 4 Saturdays or Sundays a month, and sometimes I have nothing to do, so I can analyze tennis or basketball.

So, that's about it. I'll be sending the recap of the successfull midweek and hopefully successfull weekend on Monday or Tuesday.

And we'll have a pick or two for today's Karlovic - Johnson match, I'll publish them on 12 PM GMT.

petak, 22. srpnja 2016.

Karlovic Sock, starts at 6 PM GMT

Tennis:
IVO KARLOVIC - Jack Sock 2.26@Pinnacle
Karlovic - Sock OVER 25.5 GAMES 1.72@Pinnacle

CFL picks for tomorrow coming at 8PM GMT tonight

CFL this weekend

No value on Rijeka – Istra match, but we're getting involved in the remaining matches.

Slaven Belupo – Cibalia UNDER 2,50 1.80@SBO
(-0.5) SLAVEN BELUPO – Cibalia 1.72@Pinnacle
Inter – (0) OSIJEK 1.96@SBO

(-0.5) LOKOMOTIVA – Rnk Split 2.04@Pinnacle

We also might have another tennis pick tomorrow, but that obviously depends on the outcome of today's match.


srijeda, 20. srpnja 2016.

UEFA leagues qualifiers mid-week

Ok, here we go. All bets at 1 point flat stakes.

CLQ: Dinamo – (+1.5) VARDAR - 2.07@SBO
CLQ: Dinamo – Vardar OVER 2.5 GOALS - 1.91@Pinnacle
ELQ: Hajduk – (+1) CSMS IASI – 1.78@Pinnacle
ELQ: Lokomotiva – RoPS Rovaniemi OVER 2.5 GOALS – 1.91@Pinnacle

TENNIS:
Brian Baker – (-2 GAMES) IVO KARLOVIC 1.81@Pinnacle

ponedjeljak, 18. srpnja 2016.

First weekend recap and more

First weekend of the CFL brought 3 results I got right – Slaven Belupo beat Inter Zapresic 2:0 (it was 0:0 in the first 80 minutes, 2nd goal was scored deep in the injury time). Dinamo managed to beat Lokomotiva 3:1, although Fiolic scored an opener for Lokomotiva. Rijeka comfortably beat RNK Split 3:0, they scored the early opener and were much better team the whole match. So, 3 of 3 for the opening of the season.

I don't know what do you think about tennis (and betting on tennis), but I can say I was pretty unlucky. Marin Cilic was 3:0 ahaed in the 5th set vs Jack Sock (when OVER bet was already won), and insted of easily winning the match, he managed to lost his 2nd consecutive „best-of-5“ match in which he was leading 2:0 (he lost vs Roger Federer in Wimbledon recently – and before that, he NEVER lost a match in which he was 2:0 ahead). In the 2nd match of the day, John Isner won first two sets the same way – he was serving first, he was 5:4 ahead, and then made the only break of serve of the set. I'm sure that Coric would won at least one tie-break, if he saved his serve, which would be quite enough for a winning OVER bet.

However, Croatia won 3:2 (after being 2:0 down – first Marin Cilic and Ivan Dodig beat Bryan brothers), then Cilic beat Isner 3:0, while Coric was much better than Sock and won 3:1. Croatia will play vs France at home in the semi-final of the Davis Cup, and I'm really looking forward to that match.

I forgot to mention that I'll be using the same bank as the last year (20 points), while my stats will be separated – for football, tennis and other sports together.

However, Dinamo and Vardar will play 2nd leg of UCL preliminary round on Wednesday, while Hajduk and Lokomotiva will play their matches on Thursday. I'll be publishing all the bets on Wednesday around 11 AM GMT.

FOOTBALL:
Slaven Belupo - Inter Zapresic UNDER 2,5 GOALS 1.88@Pinnacle - 1 point – FT 2:0 (+0.88)
RNK Split - (-0.5) RIJEKA 2.16@Pinnacle - 1 point – FT 0:3 (+1.16)
(-1) DINAMO - Lokomotiva 1.42@Pinnacle - 1 point – FT 3:1 (+0.42)

+2.46 points

TENNIS:
Jack Sock - (-2 GAMES) MARIN CILIC 1.84@Pinnacle - 1 point FT 4:6, 3:6, 6:3, 6:4, 6:4 (-1)
Jack Sock - Marin Cilic OVER 42,5 GAMES 2.04@Pinnacle - 1 point FT 4:6, 3:6, 6:3, 6:4, 6:4 (+1.04)
John Isner - Borna Coric OVER 38,5 GAMES 1.85@Pinnacle - 1 point FT 6:4, 6:4, 6:3 (-1)
-0.96 points

petak, 15. srpnja 2016.

New season starts today

Hello everybody!

Last season was the worse for me since I started betting. But, seasons like that happen to everyone, and since the new season of the CFL starts today, I think it's time to write few sentences. If we were a bit more lucky last season (I'm talking about the part of the season that Skeeve was in charge, if only two goals weren't scored in the deep in the injury time, last season would be almost break-even as two bets on draws would bring more than 7 points of profit). But, that's not important right now.

This season will be different, as there'll be no previews - I'll just let you know which bets I took. I'll still be taking them at 1 point flat stakes. But I decided to include bets on other sports involving Croatian teams and sportsmen (mostly tennis, sometimes basketball or some other sports as well - Olympics begins in 3 weeks).

On top of that - I'll be posting all the picks for the weekend on Fridays.

So, here we go.

FRIDAY:

TENNIS - Davis Cup: USA - Croatia

Jack Sock - (-2 GAMES) MARIN CILIC 1.84@Pinnacle - 1 point
Jack Sock - Marin Cilic OVER 42,5 GAMES 2.04@Pinnacle - 1 point
John Isner - Borna Coric OVER 38,5 GAMES 1.85@Pinnacle - 1 point

FOOTBALL - CFL
Slaven Belupo - Inter Zapresic UNDER 2,5 GOALS 1.88@Pinnacle - 1 point

SATURDAY
RNK Split - (-0.5) RIJEKA 2.16@Pinnacle - 1 point

SUNDAY
(-1) DINAMO - Lokomotiva 1.42@Pinnacle - 1 point

petak, 13. svibnja 2016.

The end of season

Frustrating season has come to an end. I'll write another text about it, in a few weeks, I just need time distance after the worst season ever. In the meantime, in the last round, only one official bet.

Lokomotiva – Dinamo OVER 3.25 GOALS 2.12@SBO
Dinamo is champion, Lokomotiva secured ELQ and I expect relaxed match with lots of goals.

This is the list of bets I'll take – not for the full stake, as the only question before the final round is who will be at the 5th place – RNK Split or Inter Zapresic.

This is short list – bets I'll take, but not at full stake:

(-0.5) INTER – Osijek 1.81@SBO
Lokomotiva – (-1) DINAMO 1.82@SBO
(-1.5) RIJEKA – Istra 1.79@SBO
Rijeka – Istra OVER 3 GOALS 1.71@SBO

NK Zagreb – (-0.25) HAJDUK 2.11@SBO

subota, 7. svibnja 2016.

Saturday, May 7th



CFL: Lokomotiva – (-0.5) ZAGREB (5.68@Pinnacle)

If Lokomotiva wins vs Zagreb, they'll secure 4th spot which brings ELQ. But, they're not in good form (they lost 3 of the last 4 matches), and Zagreb is still hoping. After all, If Zagreb wins today, RNK Split will be motivated for sure to win away at Istra (Lokomotiva plays vs Dinamo in the last round, which means Split still has chance to reach the 4th spot). And Istra plays at mighty Rijeka in the last round, while Zagreb will play at home vs unmotivated Hajduk. And while there's hope… Zagreb has 2 wins in the last 3 matches, and they had 0:0 vs Slaven Belupo in the last round (then they conceeded a goal and fell apart). It may look like a long shot, but Zagreb players are fully motivated, and I'm sure they'll do their best to win this match.

I can definitely see a low (or no) scoring draw in Osijek – Rijeka match, but since both clubs secured their positions, and some youngsters will get their chance, I just have to stay out of this one.
We might have a bet or 2 tomorrow as well, so tune in at 11 AM GMT.

nedjelja, 1. svibnja 2016.

Sunday, May 1st

CFL: Osijek – Hajduk DRAW (3.16@Pinnacle)

Hajduk will end this season on 3rd place – and Osijek on 8th, that's a fact. And although they' could be quite relaxed, they won't. Hajduk is taking this one seriously – they travelled by plane (and they were travelling by bus the whole season). Osijek is always tough away game for them (only 1 win in the last 10 matches – but as much as 4 draws). Both teams have selection problems, specially in the offensive line up. Osijek hasn't score for 5 rounds, Hajduk has 20 clean sheets this season, and a goalless draw is the most probably outcome here (that was the result of the last 3 Hajduk's away matches and 3 of 4 last Osijek matches). Middle margin set at 2.0 on O/U market is more than real, so no value there.

CFL: (-1) RIJEKA - RNK Split (1.61@Pinnacle)
CFL: Rijeka - RNK Split UNDER 3.0 GOALS (1.59@Pinnacle)

I was surprised to see odds coming my way, but that's the case and I just have to take this bet. Although Rijeka has some offensive selection problems (Tomasov and Gavranovic), and although RNK Split is tough defensive minded team, I'm sure Rijeka will win at least 1:0 (2:0 is the most probable result, if you ask me). Bezjak and Balaj should be enough to solve RNK Split. Rijeka still has theoretically chance to be the champion, coack Kek says that they want all 9 points till the end, and after all - they're undefeated at home this season (11 wins and 5 draws). Btw, Rijeka won all 3 H2H matches this season: 2:1 twice and 2:0 once.

Recap and more pick(s) coming

Horrible day at the office – Zagreb – Slaven Belupo played an equal match for the first 80 minutes, then SB scored the first and then Zagreb fell apart. Dinamo scored an early goal, crated lots of chances in a match that looked like „today – Dinamo will be training offense, and Istra – defense“. Obviously that guests weren't quite bad at it. However, situation on the table is clear (unless some kind of miracles happen) – Zagreb is relegated, Istra is in the play-offs, Dinamo is the champion once again, Rijeka and Hajduk will play in the EL qualifiers, as well as Lokomotiva (Dinamo will probably win the Cup), Split is 5th, Osijek is 8th – and the only remaining question is – will Inter keep the 6th place, or Slaven Belupo will catch them. We will have some picks today and in the remaining two rounds.

subota, 30. travnja 2016.

Saturday, April 30th



CFL: (-0.5) ZAGREB – Slaven Belupo (1.89@Pinnacle, 1.88@SBO, 12Bet)

2016 is the year of Slaven Belupo's biggest success – they reached the Cup final (ok, they did beat Aston Villa in 2001 in Intertoto Cup, but this is much more important, I'd say). The final (one match only, on neutral pitch in Osijek is scheduled for May 10th), and since SB strongly holds 7th position – their mind is on the Cup final, no doubt about that. They have more than a few injured players, another couple of doubtful, and I'm sure that coach Kopic (who was on Zagreb's bench last season) won't risk anything, as he wants all the players fit for the May 10th.
If Zagreb started to play like this a bit earlier (1:0 defeat at mighty Dinamo, 2:0 win vs RNK Split and 4:1 win away at Istra), their chances to stay in the league would be much better. But, still – 3 rounds before the end and 6 points behind Istra, who holds 9th position (relegation play-off spot), seems possible to catch. Istra plays at Dinamo today, so if Zagreb beats SB – they'd be only 3 points behind, 2 rounds before the end, and much easier schedule than Istra's. On top of that, one of Zagreb's 3 wins this season was vs SB (who has only one away win this season, scored 13 goals and conceeded 27 in 16 away matches).

CFL: (-2) DINAMO – Istra (1.74@Pinnacle)
Dinamo – Istra OVER 3 GOALS (1.83@Pinnacle, 1.82@SBO)

Dinamo won 1:0, 2:1 or 3:2 this season as much as 13 times. But, they also have wins like 3:0, 3:1, 4:1 and 5:1. If we take a look at the results when Istra played at Dinamo in the past 5 seasons, we will find 3:1 once, 3:0, 6:0 and 4:1. Poor offensive performances have to stop (rather sooner than later – only 3 goals scored in 4 matches, 4 consecutive clean sheets), weather is just lovely today, if Dinamo wins, they'd confirm the title (4 points 2 rounds before the end – and their B-team Lokomotiva is waiting in the last round) – so, this is the key match!
Istra looks horrible – they conceeded 13 goals in the last 5 rounds and scored only one. Their end of the season will be full of stress, as tonight they might be only 3 points ahead of Zagreb (they have to play vs RNK Split and at Rijeka after this match, and they can't count on any points in those matches). I expect they'll be trashed. Why? If Hajduk, Inter and Lokomotiva can score 3, and Zagreb 4 (that all happened in April), I'm sure Dinamo can do (at least) that as well.  

Btw, we might have a bet tommorrow as well – so tune in at 11 AM GMT tomorrow.