CFL: NK Zagreb – Lokomotiva OVER 2,5 GOALS
(1,93@SBO, 1,92@Pinnacle, 1,87@12Bet, Dafabet)
This is the match between two teams that play their home matches on the same turf, Zagreb's stadium in Kranjceviceva street. But, since both teams don't have too many fans (or at least noisy fans), this „city derby“ won't atract too many spectators. Zagreb strongly holds the last position, they won only 10 points (only one win, 7 draws and as many as 17 defeats) in 25 matches, conceeded 45 goals and scored only 18. After the winter break, they have 1 draw (1:1 vs Istra) and 3 defeats (2:1 vs Dinamo Zagreb, 3:0 at Slaven Belupo – who also missed a penalty and 1:0 at RNK Split – in which Split had at least 3 or 4 must score chances). They also have some selection problems (Anto Gudelj is suspended), while the boss and coach Drazen Medic is not satisfied with performances of the most of the players, so he constantly rotates the team. After they failed to beat Istra, and narrow down that -11 points, players became depleted. Most of them are worrying about their own future, as they already see their current club in the 2nd league.
Lokomotiva, as usual, plays very relaxed. They have too many quality youngsters (Cekici arrived from Dinamo, Pamic and Husejinovic arrived at the beginning of the season from Dinamo), and even defensive players, specially left and right backs, are quite offensive minded. It's no surprise that they're no. 1 on O/U table – 19 of 25 matches they played this season ended by at least 3 goals scored. After the winter break, they played 4 matches – they lost 2:0 at Rijeka, won vs Hajduk Split 2:1 and at Osijek 3:1, and finally lost vs Inter Zapresic 2:1 at home. Lokomotiva will miss two standard defensive players – central defender Herdi Prenga and defensive midfielder Luka Capan (both suspended), which will surely affect their defensive performance. If we take a look at their last 5 head-to-head matches, we can see that only once this bet would be lost – in their last match, which Lokomotiva won 2:0. Before that, the results were 1:2, 2:1, 0:6 and 3:0.
I think Lokomotiva is much closer to the win here, but I wouldn't be surprised if Zagreb scores one or even two goals.